If a clean reference probability implies price 2.00, entering at 1.95 can still be below reference even if the public line later closes at 1.93.
The point is not that CLV is useless. The point is that CLV alone can reward comparison against a later public price while hiding whether the entry was above a cleaner reference at the time of decision.
Frequently Asked Questions
Is CLV always misleading?
No. It can be useful as a control, but it is not a substitute for prior reference probability.
What does Vector Neutral provide here?
A daily probability linebase that can be compared before relying on post-hoc CLV readings.
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